South Africa – Economy in Recession

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As most economic sectors contract many point finger of blame at corruption within the ruling party. 

According to data from Statistics South Africa, the country as slipped into recession for the first time in eight years, largely due to weak manufacturing and trade sectors. In the first three months of 2017 the economy contracted by 0.7%.

The trade, accommodation and catering sectors were the worst performing, contracting by around 5.9%, while manufacturing contracted by 3.7%. The value of the South African Rand (R) also dropped by around 1%.

Standard Chartered Bank’s Chief Africa Economist Razia Khan said the data showed weakness where it was not expected; the country had been predicted to have relatively high growth rates. Nonetheless, Joe de Beer, Deputy Director General of Statistics South Africa, said, “We can now pronounce that the economy is in recession.”

South Africa’s economy showed marginal positive growth for 2016, although it then contracted in the fourth quarter. The only sectors to have made a positive contribution to output growth in the country have been mining and agriculture, reported the Conversation Africa.

“The slowdown in first quarter was due to much worse results from usually stable consumer-facing sectors that had been the key drivers of growth in recent years,” Capital Economics Africa economist John Ashbourne said.

Political instability, high unemployment and credit ratings downgrades have hit business and consumer confidence, while government bonds have also weakened.

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President Jacob Zuma – CC 2011.

Pressure on President Jacob Zuma, including from within his African National Congress (ANC) party, has risen since a controversial cabinet reshuffle in March that led to downgrades of South Africa to ‘junk’ status by ratings agencies S&P Global Ratings and Fitch.

“Our economy is now in tatters as a direct result of an ANC government which is corrupt to the core and has no plan for our economy,” Mmusi Maimane, the leader of the opposition Democratic Alliance (DA) said, reported the Premium Times.

The concern is that South Africa needs strong economic growth to help reduce unemployment levels, which currently stand at more than 27%.

In a statement, the Government of South Africa said that the current growth rate, if sustained, will lead to a further decline in GDP per capita, risking the sustainability of our fiscal framework and undermining the delivery of social services.

The government added that the Minister of Finance Malusi Gigaba would be seeking a meeting with business leaders to discuss ways of working together to achieve inclusive economic growth.

Find out more in the Africa Research Bulletin:

SOUTH AFRICA: Credit Downgrades Deepen Turmoil
Economic, Financial & Technical Series
Vol. 54, Issue. 3, Pp. 21637B–21639B

SOUTH AFRICA: Anti-Immigrant Protests
Economic, Financial & Technical Series
Vol. 54, Issue. 2, Pp. 21596A–21598C

SOUTH AFRICA: Growth Falls
Economic, Financial & Technical Series
Vol. 54, Issue. 2, Pp. 21605B–21606A

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